Colorado gubernatorial election, 2018

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Colorado gubernatorial election, 2018

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  Jared Polis official photo (cropped).jpg Walker Stapleton (cropped).JPG
Nominee Jared Polis Walker Stapleton
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Dianne Primavera Lang Sias
Popular vote 1,345,156 1,076,916
Percentage 53.4% 42.8%

Colorado Governor Election Results by County, 2018.svg
County Results
Polis:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Stapleton:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

Elected Governor

Jared Polis
Democratic

The 2018 Colorado gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next and the 43rd Governor of Colorado. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper was term-limited and could not seek reelection to a third consecutive term. The primary election was held on June 26.[1]

The major party nominees are Jared Polis for the Democratic party and Walker Stapleton for the Republican Party. The General Election took place on November 6, 2018.[2]

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Eliminated at convention[edit]

  • Erik Underwood, former congressional aide, Republican candidate for GA-10 in 2007 and Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Caucus results[edit]

On March 6, 2018, Democrats of precincts across Colorado met and voted how many Delegates each candidate that was caucusing on the ballot would get. As of March 11, 2018 at 7:30 p.m. 96.83% of precincts reported and added up below results.[23]

  • Noel Ginsburg (433; 1.8%), dropped out of race
  • Mike Johnston (2,086; 8.8%)
  • Cary Kennedy (11,700; 49.2%)
  • Jared Polis (7,784; 32.7%)
  • Erik Underwood (100; 0.4%)
  • Uncommitted (1,668; 7%)

Endorsements[edit]

Jared Polis

Organizations

  • Pipefitters Local 208
  • Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters
  • IBEW Colorado– International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
  • Sierra Club
  • Colorado Professional Firefighters (CPFF)
  • National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws (NORML)
  • National Cannabis Industry Association
  • Victory Fund
  • Humane Society

Federal Officials

State Senators

State Representatives

County Commissioners

Mayors

City Councilors

Others

Mike Johnston
Federal Officials
Statewide Officials
Local Officials
  • Gabrielle Aragon, Former San Luis Council Member
  • Albus Brooks, Denver City Council President
  • Lisa Flores, Denver Public School Board of Education Member
  • Tracy Johnson, Academy District 20 Board of Education Member
  • Jeanne McQueeney, Eagle County Commissioner[29]
  • Theresa Peña, Denver Public Schools Former Board of Education Member[30]
  • Christina Rinderle, Former Durango Mayor
  • Wellington Webb, Former Mayor of Denver[28]
Organizations
Public Figures
Cary Kennedy
Federal Officials
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Donna Lynne
State legislators
  • Janet Buckner, [State Representative]
  • JoAnn Ginal, [State Representative]
  • Lucia Guzman,[State Senator]
  • Jean Dubofsky, [former state Supreme Court Justice]
Local officials
  • Marguerite Salazar, [Colorado Department of Regulatory Agencies executive director]
  • Tamra Ward, [Denver Zoo chief external relations officer]
  • Leanna Clark, [Vice chancellor for the University of Colorado Denver]
  • Jacque Montgomery, [Gov. John Hickenlooper’s spokeswoman]
  • Kathy Maloney Green, [Gov. John Hickenlooper’s former spokeswoman]
Ed Perlmutter (withdrawn)

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Johnston
Cary
Kennedy
Donna
Lynne
Jared
Polis
Other Undecided
Strategies 360 May 29 – June 6, 2018 387 ± 5.0% 12% 23% 2% 34% 29%
Magellan Strategies (R) May 30–31, 2018 503 ± 4.4% 9% 18% 3% 31% 39%
TargetPoint/GQR March 2018 18% 18% 12% 52%
Magellan Strategies (R) March 20–23, 2018 410 ± 4.8% 8% 23% 5% 27% 1% 36%
University of Colorado Boulder November 9–15, 2017 357 ± 3.5% 4% 6% 4% 24% 2%[41] 58%

Results[edit]

Results by county:
Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jared Polis 282,725 44.46
Democratic Cary Kennedy 157,098 24.71
Democratic Michael Johnston 149,717 23.55
Democratic Donna Lynne 46,316 7.28
Total votes 635,856 100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominated[edit]

Eliminated in primary[edit]

Eliminated at convention[edit]

Withdrawn[edit]

Declined[edit]

Caucus results[edit]

Based on information shared by some key counties, as well as a recent survey the following are believed to be results of the Republican Caucus from Key Counties.[64]

Pueblo County

Douglas County

Endorsements[edit]

George Brauchler (withdrawn)
Celebrities
Tom Tancredo (withdrawn)
Political Commentators

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Cynthia
Coffman
Greg
Lopez
Victor
Mitchell
Doug
Robinson
Walker
Stapleton
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies (R) June 6–7, 2018 593 ± 4.0% 10% 23% 4% 36% 27%
TargetPoint/GQR March 2018 7% 15% 16% 62%
Magellan Strategies (R) February 26–27, 2018 647 ± 3.9% 13% 5% 8% 26% 9% 39%

Results[edit]

Results by county:
Republican primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Walker Stapleton 239,415 47.66
Republican Victor Mitchell 151,365 30.13
Republican Greg Lopez 66,330 13.20
Republican Doug Robinson 45,245 9.01
Total votes 502,355 100.0

Third party and independent candidates[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declared[edit]

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[72] Lean D June 16, 2018
The Washington Post[73] Lean D October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[74] Safe D November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[75] Lean D April 6, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[76] Lean D September 20, 2018
Real Clear Politics[77] Lean D October 9, 2018
Daily Kos[78] Lean D July 5, 2018
Fox News[79][a] Lean D October 9, 2018
Politico[80] Lean D October 9, 2018
Governing[81] Lean D November 2, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Endorsements[edit]

Jared Polis (D)

Organizations

  • Pipefitters Local 208
  • Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters
  • IBEW Colorado– International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
  • Sierra Club
  • Colorado Professional Firefighters (CPFF)
  • National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws (NORML)
  • National Cannabis Industry Association
  • Victory Fund
  • Humane Society

Federal Officials

State Officials

State Senators

State Representatives

County Commissioners

Mayors

City Councilors

Others

Walker Stapleton (R)
Presidents of the United States

Federal Officials

State Officials

State Senators
State Representatives
Local officials

Mayors

District attorneys
  • Pete Weir (1st Judicial District)[114]
  • Dan May (4th Judicial District)[114]
  • Cliff Riedel (8th Judicial District)[114]
  • Jeff Cheney (9th Judicial District)[114]
  • Molly Chilson (11th Judicial District)[114]
  • Brittny Lewton (13th Judicial District)[114]
  • Brett Barkey (14th Judicial District)[114]
  • Josh Vogel (15th Judicial District)[114]
  • Jim Bullock (16th Judicial District)[114]
  • Michael J. Rourke (19th Judicial District)[114]
  • Dan Rubinstein (21st Judicial District)[114]
Sheriffs
Others
  • Nick Rogers, president of the Denver Police Protective Association[114]
  • Doug Robinson, businessman[115]
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Jared
Polis
(D)
Walker
Stapleton
(R)
Scott
Helker
(L)
Other Undecided
Magellan Strategies October 29–30, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 45% 40% 3% 1%[126] 11%
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Martin Campaigns October 25–30, 2018 517 ± 4.3% 50% 42% 4% 1%[127] 4%
University of Colorado/YouGov October 12–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 54% 42% 3% 2%
Magellan Strategies October 8–10, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 47% 40% 4% 0%[128] 9%
Keating Research/Magellan Strategies September 18–20, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 40% 1% 0%[129] 11%
Kaiser Family Foundation/CO Health Foundation/SSRS August 15 – September 19, 2018 1,585 44% 33% 21%
Public Policy Polling (D-CO Democratic Party) June 27–28, 2018 608 47% 40% 13%
Strategies 360 May 29 – June 6, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% 37% 3% 18%

Results[edit]

Colorado gubernatorial election, 2018
Party Candidate Votes % ±
Democratic Jared Polis 1,345,156 53.44% +4.14%
Republican Walker Stapleton 1,076,916 42.79% -3.16%
Libertarian Scott Helker 69,156 2.75% +0.81%
Unity Bill Hammons 25,722 1.02% N/A
Total votes 2,516,950 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

References[edit]

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  23. ^ Colorado Democratic Party http://www.coloradodems.org/caucus-results/. Retrieved 2018-02-03. Missing or empty |title= (help)
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  26. ^ Luning, Ernest (August 9, 2017). "Gary Hart endorses Democrat Mike Johnston in Colorado's gubernatorial primary". Colorado Politics. Retrieved August 10, 2017.
  27. ^ "Gov. Dick Lamm Endorses Mike Johnston, Democratic Candidate for Governor". February 10, 2018. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
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  29. ^ "About Jeanne McQueeney". Retrieved May 7, 2018.
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  34. ^ Mesmer, Sarah (January 31, 2018). "Cary Kennedy Lands Major CEA/AFT Endorsement - Colorado Pols". coloradopols.com.
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  38. ^ Brown, Cory (February 17, 2018). "Steelworkers back Democrat Cary Kennedy for governor of Colorado - Colorado Politics". coloradopolitics.com. Ernest Luning.
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  40. ^ Bunch, Joey (May 19, 2017). "Perlmutter picks up key endorsement in Colorado governor's race: Pipefitters". ColoradoPolitics.com. Retrieved June 11, 2017.
  41. ^ Noel Ginsburg* 2%. *Withdrawn.
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  44. ^ "Greg Lopez for Governor". Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  45. ^ Bunch, Joey. Republican Victor Mitchell is officially in the race for Colorado governor. ColoradoPolitics.com, February 14, 2017. Retrieved: 2017-02-14.
  46. ^ Luning, Ernest (April 26, 2018). "Doug Robinson is on the ballot in GOP gubernatorial primary". ColoradoPolitics. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
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  54. ^ http://twitter.com/JimRundberg/status/983099034125684736
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  58. ^ Marcus, Peter (April 1, 2017). "Colorado Spring's state Sen. Owen Hill to challenge U.S. Rep. Doug Lamborn in 5th Congressional District". ColoradoPolitics.com. Retrieved April 2, 2017.
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  60. ^ Frank, John (January 23, 2017). "Colorado GOP chairman Steve House won't seek second term after tumultuous tenure". The Denver Post. Retrieved March 9, 2017.
  61. ^ Matthews, Mark K. (July 24, 2017). "DaVita CEO Kent Thiry says he won't run for Colorado governor". The Denver Post. Retrieved July 26, 2017.
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  65. ^ Nicholson, Kieran (July 26, 2017). "Rocker Ted Nugent endorses George Brauchler for Colorado governor". The Denver Post. Retrieved October 21, 2017.
  66. ^ Joey Bunch. "Commentator Michelle Malkin throws support to Colorado gubernatorial candidate Tom Tancredo".
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  82. ^ Barack Obama [@BarackObama] (August 1, 2018). "Today I'm proud to endorse such a wide and impressive array of Democratic candidates – leaders as diverse, patriotic, and big-hearted as the America they're running to represent:" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018 – via Twitter.
  83. ^ Polis for Colorado. ""Jared Polis will be a fantastic governor for the state of Colorado and I'm proud to endorse him. As an entrepreneur who has dedicated his life to creating jobs and serving CO families, I know our state will be in good hands under Jared's leadership." [email protected] #COpolitics". Twitter.
  84. ^ Polis for Colorado. ""We need to make sure that we come together as an inclusive Colorado: Democrats, Independents, Republicans, rural, urban, metro. All of us. To make sure the baton of great leadership from John Hickenlooper is passed to another great #COGov: Jared Polis." [email protected] #COpolitics". Twitter.
  85. ^ Thomas, Ken (October 9, 2018). "Sanders barnstorming country ahead of midterm elections". Associated Press. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
  86. ^ Ed Perlmutter. "Let's get to work electing @jaredpolis as our next Governor!". Twitter.
  87. ^ Polis for Colorado. ""Healthcare. Environment & wilderness. All of the issues we care about…That's why we're here…It's about having a governor who understands why every person in this state is important and who understands why it's important to preserve our very special place." [email protected]". Twitter.
  88. ^ Justin Amash. "Congrats to my friend—and the lone Democratic member of the @libertycaucus—@jaredpolis on his big primary win for governor of Colorado!". Twitter.
  89. ^ John Hickenlooper. "Heck of a way to start the day after a long hard week of US news. Rallying with CO's next governor... Jared Polis! @polisforco is made for this time. He's committed to social justice, he's entrepreneurial & a true public servant. #giddyup #copolitics". Twitter.
  90. ^ Donna Lynne. "I want to offer my sincere congratulations to Jared Polis on his victory last night. We have had a hard fought race and we now must come together to win in November. I hope you will join me in working hard to ensure @jaredpolis is the next Governor of Colorado". Twitter.
  91. ^ Mike Johnston. "Jared Polis is an entrepreneur for good. He has earned my respect and support. With tonight's results, I hope you will join me in being the first to sign up and make calls for him. Let's stand together and fight for full day K, 100% renewables, and other critical common ground". Twitter.
  92. ^ http://www.facebook.com/Singer4House/videos/2314342101925923/
  93. ^ Crisanta Duran. "Honored to stand w/ the next Governor of CO, @jaredpolis! Our state needs a leader w/ bold ideas who will deliver results. Jared has proven through his actions that he has the courage to take on the tough issues & will problem solve for every community. #coleg #copolitics #cogov". Twitter.
  94. ^ Alan Garnett. "We're all behind you @jaredpolis! #copolitics #coleg @Dan_Pabon @RepPerlmutter @GovofCO @KenSalazar @crisantaduran @JeffBridges @Leroy_Garcia @KerryDonovanSD5 @DeGette5280 @MichaelBHancock @Rosenthal5280". Twitter.
  95. ^ Polis for Colorado. ""As mayor of Denver, Colorado, I am proud to stand up with most Coloradans who believe that Colorado is heading in the right direction and saying: it's Jared time in Colorado!" [email protected] #COpolitics #JaredTime". Twitter.
  96. ^ Jared Polis. "Thank you for all the amazing congratulatory tweets! Onwards to November! Here's my favorite text I got tonight from @WillieNelson :". Twitter.
  97. ^ Phil Weiser. "This is leadership. I look forward to working with @jaredpolis to develop innovative solutions to improve health care for all Coloradans. http://www.philforcolorado.com/2018/05/23/fighting-for-affordable-and-accessible-health-care-for-all-coloradans/". Twitter. External link in |title= (help)
  98. ^ Jon Murray. "This morning @CaryKennedy is on the stump for @jaredpolis campaign for #cogov. With other Dems and activists, talking about Polis ed plan and criticizing @WalkerStapleton plan as not fixing funding problems. #copolitics". Twitter.
  99. ^ Donald Trump. "Walker Stapleton is running as the highly respected Republican Candidate for Governor of the Great State of Colorado. His credentials and talents are impeccable. He has my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  100. ^ Joe St. George. "Vice President Pence speaks on Stapleton, missing journalist during Denver visit". Fox 31.
  101. ^ George Bush. "Happy to congratulate @WalkerStapleton on a terrific primary victory last night, and to join him in thanking those backing his campaign for Colorado Governor. Walker is good man, and will do a great job if elected". Twitter.
  102. ^ Frank, John (February 14, 2018). "George W. Bush to headline Texas fundraiser for his cousin, Colorado's Walker Stapleton". The Denver Post. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
  103. ^ "Senator Cory Gardner Endorses Walker Stapleton". Stapleton for Colorado.
  104. ^ Joe St. George (April 12, 2018). "Congressman Ken Buck endorses Walker Stapleton in governor's race". kdvr.com.
  105. ^ "Congressman Mike Coffman Supports Walker Stapleton". Stapleton for Colorado.
  106. ^ "COLORADO CONGRESSIONAL REPUBLICANS STAND UNITED BEHIND STAPLETON-SIAS TICKET". Stapleton for Colorado.
  107. ^ "Congressman Scott Tipton Endorses Walker Stapleton". Stapleton for Colorado.
  108. ^ Luning, Ernest (April 11, 2018). "Tancredo endorses Stapleton in governor's race". Colorado Politics.
  109. ^ Jeb Bush. "Check out @WalkerStapleton's education agenda for Colorado #edreform". Twitter.
  110. ^ a b "Colorado Republican Leaders Grantham and Neville Back Walker Stapleton". Stapleton for Colorado.
  111. ^ "Victor Mitchell Puts Support Behind Walker Stapleton". KCNC-TV.
  112. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be Luning, Ernst (March 5, 2018). "More than 50 county commissioners endorse Republican gubernatorial candidate Walker Stapleton". Colorado Politics. Retrieved March 27, 2018.
  113. ^ The Colorado GOP. "Victor Mitchell, Greg Lopez, and Doug Robinson gave Walker Stapleton their unequivocal support in Arapahoe County today. One for all and all for one! Next stop on today's unity tour: Jefferson County. #copolitics #RepUnity". Twitter.
  114. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad "Stapleton wins endorsements from Republican district attorneys, sheriffs". Colorado Springs Gazette. June 11, 2018.
  115. ^ The Colorado GOP. "In Arapahoe County, Doug Robinson offered ⁦@WalkerStapleton⁩ not only his unqualified support but a max contribution. Republicans are united in earnest. Democrats aren't even united for show. #copolitics #RepUnity". Twitter.
  116. ^ Luning, Ernst (February 13, 2018). "Associated Builders and Contractors endorses Republican Walker Stapleton for governor". Colorado Politics. Retrieved February 13, 2018.
  117. ^ "AFP-Colorado Endorses Walker Stapleton for Governor". Americans for Prosperity. September 12, 2018.
  118. ^ Bunch, Joey (October 3, 2018). "Colorado Farm Bureau endorses Stapleton for governor". Colorado Politics.
  119. ^ "NFIB Endorses Stapleton for Governor". NFIB. October 9, 2018.
  120. ^ Bunch, Joey (October 11, 2018). "Colorado auto dealers make first-ever endorsement: Walker Stapleton". Colorado Politics.
  121. ^ "Vote Stapleton for governor". Pueblo Chieftain. October 14, 2018.
  122. ^ "EDITORIAL: Gazette election endorsements 2018: Candidates". Colorado Springs Gazette. October 14, 2018.
  123. ^ "Our endorsements". Durango Herald. October 15, 2018.
  124. ^ "Walker Stapleton for governor". Grand Junction Daily Sentinel. October 21, 2018.
  125. ^ "Tribune Endorsement: Walker Stapleton is our pick for governor, but he must learn from office's current occupant". The Greeley Tribune. October 21, 2018.
  126. ^ Bill Hammons (U) with 1%
  127. ^ Bill Hammons (U) with 1%
  128. ^ Bill Hammons (U) with 0%
  129. ^ Bill Hammons (U) with 0%

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites